Company deep-dives

Ola needs 2.6x today’s sales to cover its running costs. We ran the numbers.

Vikas14 Nov 20264 min read
Ola needs 2.6x today’s sales to cover its running costs. We ran the numbers.
Ola Electric · Q2 FY27 · The model

Ola Electric lost ₹362 crore in July to September. That’s the number in the headlines.

The more useful one is 31,650.

That’s roughly how many vehicles Ola would need to sell every month for its vehicle business to cover its operating costs, at what each vehicle earned last quarter. In October, 12,096 Ola vehicles were registered.

If you own the stock, or one of the Motilal Oswal funds that has kept buying it, that gap is what matters. So we modelled it: the break-even, the battery-cell factory, the cash, and what management said against what happened.

This isn’t a buy or sell call. It’s arithmetic on the company’s own numbers.

31,650vehicles a month to cover the vehicle business’s operating costs at Q2 margins. October registrations: 12,096
0.5–0.7 GWha year of cell demand from Ola’s vehicles at today’s sales, against a 6 GWh plant that breaks even at 2–3 GWh
~4 quartersof cash at the first half’s spending pace, counting ~₹600 cr of rights-issue money
₹1.02 lakhnet loss per vehicle in Q2 FY27, on roughly 35,500 vehicles

Revenue fell 74%. The loss stayed the same size

In April to June 2024, Ola sold ₹1,644 crore worth of vehicles and lost ₹347 crore. In July to September 2026, it sold ₹421 crore and lost ₹362 crore.

Across those ten quarters, revenue added up to about ₹7,640 crore and losses to ₹4,807 crore. Not one quarter made a profit.

Revenue and net loss by quarter (₹ crore)
RevenueNet lossLatest quarter
-1,000-50005001,0001,5001,644−347Q1 FY251,214−495Q2 FY251,045−564Q3 FY25611−870Q4 FY25828−428Q1 FY26690−418Q2 FY26470−487Q3 FY26265−500Q4 FY26455−336Q1 FY27421−362Q2 FY27

EBITDA, profit before interest, depreciation and tax, shows the same thing more sharply. In Q2 FY25 the EBITDA loss was 31.2% of revenue. In Q2 FY27 it was 51.8%. As sales shrank, costs didn’t shrink as fast.

EBITDA margin by quarter (%)
-120-90-60-300-13.9%Q1 FY25-31.2%Q2 FY25-44.0%Q3 FY25-113.7%Q4 FY25-28.6%Q1 FY26-29.4%Q2 FY26-57.7%Q3 FY26-106.0%Q4 FY26-36.3%Q1 FY27-51.8%Q2 FY27

EBITDA = loss before tax + interest + depreciation − other income, from Ola’s filings. Q2 FY27 margin is on ₹421 cr revenue. Matches Ola’s reported EBITDA loss of ₹218 cr in Q2 FY27 and ₹203 cr in Q2 FY26. Ola’s “adjusted operating EBITDA”, which also counts lease costs, was −₹246 cr. Source: Cofacto.

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