Affle 3i Q2 FY27 Results Analysis: Revenue Jumps 21% to Record, EBITDA Margin Enters Guided Band

Cofacto Research Published October 30, 2026 4 min read
Positive

Affle 3i Ltd's Q2 FY27 numbers came in strong, with revenue of Rs. 783.59 Cr (+21.16% YoY) and PAT growth of +17.44% YoY. Here's a quick read of what worked, what to watch, and what management said.

Quick Details
Results dateOctober 30, 2026
Revenue (Q2)Rs. 783.59 Cr (+21.16% YoY)
PAT (Q2)Rs. 129.79 Cr (+17.44% YoY)
EBITDA margin23.16% (+57 bps YoY)
EPS (Q2)Rs. 9.23 (+17.13% YoY)

Quarter Snapshot

Affle delivered 21.16% YoY revenue growth to a record Rs.783.59 Cr with EBITDA margin entering the guided 23-25% band for the first time at 23.16%, aided by AI-led cost control (employee costs +4.94% YoY). The key offset is cash quality: OCF/PAT of 64.89% in H1 sits well below management's 80-85% target for Q3 FY27 after a receivables build, while the Bobble Rs.134.63 Cr exposure remains open pending the Nov 25 hearing.

Q2 FY27 Expectations vs Results

DriverExpected before resultsWhat happenedVerdict
Revenue/demand"in-line to ahead on the demand tide"+21.16% YoY to a record Rs.783.59 CrPlayed out
EBITDA margin"likely stays around the low-22s"23.16% (+73 bps QoQ) — entered the guided band — betterContradicted
Inventory-&-data ratio"the single line that decides the 23–25% bridge"62.48%, −72 bps QoQ (still +123 bps YoY)Partially
FX effect on DM/marginstailwind to DM revenue, cost inflation offsetgeography split undisclosed; other income −10.0% YoYNot observable
OCF-to-PAT step-up"H1 FY27 needs a marked step-up in conversion"64.89% vs 84.80% H1 FY26 — worseContradicted
AdColony / larger dealin-quarter closing would be an incremental eventno closing; conditions precedent pending (filing note 8) — unchangedPlayed out
Bobble impairmentany decision on the Rs.135.83 Cr exposureno impairment; SC stayed CIRP Oct 16 — openPlayed out
MeitY gaming-ad prohibition impactany quantificationnone in the filing; revenue still +21.2%Not observable

Read our full results preview.

Management Guidance vs Delivery

What management saidWhereWhat happenedVerdict
~20% organic revenue CAGRmedium-term guidance, reiterated on the Q1 FY27 earnings callRevenue +21.16% YoYOn Track
EBITDA margin 23–25% "over a period of time" (company definition)management margin guidance, reiterated on recent calls23.16% (first quarter inside the band)On Track
Better margin expansion within FY2027, especially Developed Marketsmanagement commentary on prior-quarter calls+73 bps QoQ, +57 bps YoY — earlyOn Track
Modeling frame: 18–20% revenue / 23–25% EBITDA growthQ3 FY26 earnings call (February 2026)+21.16% / +24.18%Met
OCF-to-PAT 80–85% by Q3 FY27Q1 FY27 earnings call (CFO cash-flow normalization guidance)H1: 64.89% (vs 84.80% H1 FY26)Stretch
Large acquisition close by early 2027Q1 FY27 earnings call (M&A timeline)no update in the filingToo Early
AdColony: 100k+ publishers / 500M+ devices in FY2027Q1 FY27 results releaseconditions precedent still pending (filing note 8)Too Early
Fund-raising objects by March 2027monitoring-agency disclosureswarrant conversion proceeding; post-quarter allotments doneOn Track

Key Investment Insights

Key Positives

  • Revenue grew 21.16% YoY to Rs.783.59 Cr, the 15th consecutive quarter of sequential growth (+4.88% QoQ)
  • EBITDA margin of 23.16% entered the guided 23-25% band for the first time, up 73 bps QoQ and 57 bps YoY
  • EBITDA grew 24.18% YoY to Rs.181.44 Cr, outpacing revenue growth
  • Employee costs grew only 4.94% YoY against 21.16% revenue growth
  • Standalone PAT grew 72.12% YoY with standalone EBITDA margin nearly doubling to 20.18% from 10.83%
  • Net cash of Rs.2,064.83 Cr with total borrowings of just Rs.2.20 Cr
  • Inventory & data cost ratio receded 72 bps QoQ to 62.48%, the first sequential improvement in the 7-8 quarter compression stretch
  • Supreme Court stayed Bobble CIRP on Oct 16, 2026 with no impairment booked on the Rs.134.63 Cr exposure

Risk Factors

  • OCF/PAT of 64.89% in H1 FY27 vs management's guided 80-85% by Q3 FY27, with CFO declining 8.5% YoY to Rs.167.58 Cr
  • Inventory & data costs at 62.48% of revenue remain up 123 bps YoY despite the QoQ improvement
  • D&A grew 29.26% YoY, holding PAT growth (+17.44%) below EBITDA growth (+24.18%)
  • Other income fell 10.00% YoY to Rs.20.05 Cr on treasury deployment and FX effects
  • AdColony acquisition still has conditions precedent uncompleted, with acquisition accounting deferred
  • Bobble Rs.134.63 Cr exposure remains open pending the Nov 25, 2026 hearing despite the SC stay
Share on X · LinkedIn · WhatsApp

Disclaimer: This results analysis is published for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Powered by Cofacto — AI research platform for Indian stocks, every claim cited from primary filings

Login Now