Axis Bank, one of India's largest private sector banks, heads into its Q2 FY 2026-2027 print with provisional advances growth of 22.7% YoY outpacing the system's 18.8% non-food credit growth. The key questions are whether NIM has truly bottomed at 3.46% after the RBI's October 7 repo rate hike to 5.50%, and how the bank's CASA ratio — implied at about 36.5% from the provisional update — affects funding costs.
| Results date | October 17, 2026 |
|---|---|
| Quarter | Q2 FY 2026-2027 |
| Previous quarter NII | Rs. 14,646 crore |
| Previous quarter PAT | Rs. 7,114 crore (standalone net profit Rs. 7,113.92 crore) |
| Previous quarter NIM | 3.46% |
| Market cap | Rs. 392,055.16 Cr |
| CMP | Rs. 1259.1 |
The Board of Axis Bank is scheduled to meet on October 17, 2026, to consider the unaudited standalone and consolidated financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2026. The trading window closure was set for October 1–19, 2026.
The Q2 print will test whether Q1 FY27's NIM of 3.46% — which management described as the "cycle bottom" — holds as the trough after the RBI's October 7 repo rate hike of 25 bps to 5.50% and shift to a calibrated tightening stance. Provisional September 30 figures show gross advances of Rs. 13,846 billion, up 22.7% YoY, ahead of the system's 18.8% non-food credit growth and consistent with management's medium-term aspiration of about 300 bps above-market aggregate loan growth. Total deposits grew 20.7% YoY to Rs. 14,521 billion, narrowing the credit-deposit growth gap to 2.0 pp, but CASA deposits grew only 10.6% YoY, implying a CASA ratio of about 36.5% versus 40% in Q4 FY26 — a funding-cost headwind. Credit cost is the favourable swing factor: Q1 FY27 net credit cost was 0.63% annualized with GNPA at 1.28%, and the Rs. 2,001 crore one-time standard-asset provision from Q4 FY26 remains available for drawdown if macro conditions affect the identified loan pool. The call will also need to resolve the guidance conflict over the 3.80% through-cycle NIM target, which the Q1 CFO said had not been formally provided, and clarify the 34 bps NIM expansion expectation over 12–15 months.
NIM trajectory and the 3.80% through-cycle target: Margin guidance is the single biggest open question after the October rate hike.
Deposit growth, CASA erosion and funding costs
Asset quality, credit cost and the Rs. 2,001 crore provision
Performance vs Guidance Tracking
Strategic execution: wholesale reorganization, technology and capital
Q4 FY26 management said it expected the 3.80% through-cycle NIM target 15–18 months after transmission of the last rate cut, and Q1 FY27 summaries described a 12–15 month timeframe. However, the Q1 FY27 CFO also said the bank had not provided formal 3.8% guidance, and this conflict remains unreconciled.
In Q1 FY27, management cited 19 bps of YoY margin loss from repo-rate cuts and 16 bps associated with balance-sheet mix change, while declining to provide a detailed bridge. A Q1 FY27 transcript summary attributes an expectation of 34 bps NIM expansion over the next 12–15 months to management, with 16 bps from the mix change.
Management has said it does not guide on credit cost, citing uncertainty around the West Asia crisis, but pointed to stabilization in Cards and Personal Loans and favourable behaviour in early vintages. Q1 FY27 net credit cost was 0.63% annualized with GNPA at 1.28% and NNPA at 0.39%.
Axis Bank recorded a Rs. 2,001 crore one-time standard-asset provision in Q4 FY26, described by management as a voluntary enhancement of the provisioning framework due to macroeconomic uncertainties. A transcript summary said the provision related to an identified pool of loans and could be drawn down in FY27 if the P&L were affected.
Yes — the October 5 provisional business update showed gross advances of Rs. 13,846 billion as of September 30, 2026, up 22.7% YoY, ahead of the system's 18.8% non-food credit growth in the August 2026 fortnight. This is consistent with management's medium-term aspiration of about 300 bps above-market aggregate loan growth.