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Cummins India Ltd (CUMMINSIND) Q2 FY27 Results Analysis: PAT Falls 18.5%, Margin Compresses 658 bps

Cofacto Research Published November 04, 2026 4 min read
Negative

Cummins India Ltd's Q2 FY27 numbers came in soft, with revenue of Rs. 3,247.47 Cr (+4.03% YoY) and PAT growth of -18.50% YoY. Here's a quick read of what worked, what to watch, and what management said.

Quick Details
Results dateNovember 04, 2026
Revenue (Q2)Rs. 3,247.47 Cr (+4.03% YoY)
PAT (Q2)Rs. 507.17 Cr (-18.50% YoY)
EBITDA margin15.34% (-658 bps YoY)
EPS (Q2)Rs. 18.30 (-18.49% YoY)

Quarter Snapshot

Q2 FY27 revenue grew 4.03% YoY to Rs.3,247.47 crore but PAT fell 18.50% YoY to Rs.507.17 crore as EBITDA margin compressed 658 bps YoY to 15.34% on a 17.39% YoY rise in material costs. H1 sales growth of 10.74% keeps the double-digit FY27 revenue guidance on track on the total-sales proxy, but holding it requires ~11-12% YoY growth in the remaining quarters. Cash generation improved (H1 FCF Rs.930.39 crore, CFO/PAT 0.91x) despite the profit decline.

Q2 FY27 Expectations vs Results

DriverExpected before resultsWhat happenedVerdict
Domestic revenue ahead of guided path"domestic revenue for Q2 likely tracks ahead of that guided path, though against a high base"Total sales +4.03% YoY, −3.78% QoQ; H1 +10.74%; domestic split not disclosed — sharp deceleration); domestic leg Not observableContradicted on total revenue
Exports the laggard"the export line likely remains the laggard"Not disclosed in the filingNot observable
Margins compressing YoY again; degree vs Q1 open"margins likely compressing YoY again"EBITDA margin 15.34% vs 21.92% YoY (−658 bps) — worse than Q1's compression; also −264 bps QoQPlayed out
Raw-material pressure persists"whether raw-material inflation persisted through Q2 or eased"Cost of materials +17.39% YoY vs revenue +4.03%; inventory build resumed — proxyPlayed out
Margin-bridge disclosure on the call"the margin bridge is the single most important disclosure to press for"Filing silent on drivers — not addressed in the filing; remains open for the callNot observable
Data-center mix holding ≥40%"does data center hold at/above 40% of power-generation revenue"Not disclosed in the filing — remains open for the callNot observable
MD transition continuity"incoming MD Adewunmi's continuity signals days after his Nov 1 charge"The results are signed by Adegbile Adedapo Adewunmi, Managing Director (the filing's wording, which overrides the pre-call note's "Gbile Adewunmi")Played out

Read our full results preview.

Management Guidance vs Delivery

What management saidWhereWhat happenedVerdict
"Double-digit domestic revenue growth for FY27"Reiterated with Q1 FY27 resultsConsolidated sales +4.03% YoY in Q2, +10.74% YoY in H1; domestic/export split not disclosed in the filing — the domestic leg cannot be scored directlyOn Track on the total-sales proxy, with clear deceleration flagged
"Moderate growth across segments"Q4 FY26 earnings-call framingEngines sales +4.03% YoY; Lubes (full JV basis) +42.77% YoY — but Engines PBT −22.77% YoYRevenue leg on track; profit leg contradicts

Key Investment Insights

Key Positives

  • H1 FY27 consolidated sales grew 10.74% YoY to Rs.6,622.40 crore, on the guided double-digit growth path
  • Lubes (Valvoline Cummins, full JV basis) sales grew 42.77% YoY to Rs.1,014.56 crore
  • H1 net cash from operations rose to Rs.1,020.75 crore from Rs.742.42 crore, with CFO/PAT improving to 0.91x from 0.61x
  • H1 free cash flow of Rs.930.39 crore; effectively zero borrowings with only Rs.37.23 crore of lease liabilities
  • Effective tax rate fell to 20.91% from 24.48% YoY, partially cushioning the pre-tax decline
  • No exceptional items in Q2 FY27; the −18.50% PAT decline is a clean operating comparison

Risk Factors

  • EBITDA margin compressed 658 bps YoY to 15.34% and 264 bps QoQ; Engines PBT margin fell 664 bps YoY to 19.13%
  • Cost of materials consumed grew 17.39% YoY against 4.03% revenue growth; total expenses grew 12.85% YoY
  • Consolidated PAT fell 18.50% YoY to Rs.507.17 crore; standalone PAT fell 26.78% YoY
  • Inventory build of Rs.81.30 crore in Q2 (Rs.92.36 crore negative YoY swing) depressed reported profit
  • Q2 revenue growth of 4.03% YoY runs below the guided double-digit path; remaining quarters need ~11-12% YoY average
  • Share of JV & associate profit fell 6.08% YoY; Lubes JV PBT margin fell to 5.29% from 12.24% in Q1
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Disclaimer: This results analysis is published for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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