IGL Q2 FY27 Results Analysis: PAT Plunges 93%, EBITDA Turns Negative

Cofacto Research Published October 30, 2026 4 min read

IGL reported Q2 FY27 numbers with revenue of Rs. 5,613.62 Cr (+26.30% YoY) and PAT growth of -93.50% YoY. Here's a quick read of what worked, what to watch, and what management said.

Quick Details
Results dateOctober 30, 2026
Revenue (Q2)Rs. 5,613.62 Cr (+26.30% YoY)
PAT (Q2)Rs. 24.38 Cr (-93.50% YoY)
EBITDA margin-0.61% (-1162 bps YoY)
EPS (Q2)Rs. 0.15 (-94.40% YoY)

Quarter Snapshot

Q2 FY27 EBITDA turned negative at -31.11 Cr (-0.61% margin) as gas purchase cost/SCM rose 36.9% YoY against realization/SCM growth of 17.7%, driving PAT down 93.5% to Rs.24.38 Cr — a level only positive due to a tax credit. Management's reiterated Rs.7/SCM EBITDA target and the +Rs.1.25/SCM margin build are contradicted, while volumes of 10.06 MMSCMD remain on track toward the 11 MMSCMD-by-'27 goal. Recovery hinges on the Re 1/SCM Delhi tariff implementation or spot gas normalization, neither disclosed in this filing.

Q2 FY27 Expectations vs Results

DriverExpected before resultsWhat happenedVerdict
Revenue/volume "in-line to ahead" on firm demand prints (national CGD +27% July, per pre-call note)volume-led beatVolume 925.59 MScm (+8.0%), net revenue +27.2% YoYPlayed out
Margins "compressing further", EBITDA/SCM below Q1's Rs.3.36 as spot rose $20→$25–26/MMBtu and APM $7.86→$9.00 (per pre-call note)worse-than-Q1 marginsEBITDA/SCM −0.34; margin −0.61% — worse than the reference point — EBITDA negativePlayed out
Aug 29 CNG hike Rs.3.89/kg to Rs.86.98/kg (per pre-call note) protects realizationspartial pass-throughCNG realization Rs.50.56 vs Rs.46.79 (+8.1%); blended +17.7% — partialPlayed out
Margin bridge (+Rs.1.25/unit) not flowing; Rs.7/8 target unreachablebridge contradictedEBITDA/SCM −0.34 vs guided build to Rs.7Played out
Volume leg (11 MMSCMD by '27) defensibleon track10.06 MMSCMDPlayed out
Watch: capex paceQ1 ran Rs.327 CrH1 Rs.669.39 Cr (Q2 ≈ Rs.342 Cr) — below planPlayed out
Watch: Rs.210 Cr dividend vs cash bufferrecord date 1 Oct 2026Dividend ≈ H1 PAT Rs.210.56; cash+bank+investments Rs.4,524.18 CrPlayed out
Watch: sourcing mix/spot $, DTC normalization, Re 1 tariff orderopen itemsnot disclosed in the filing — remain open for the callNot addressed in the filing

Read our full results preview.

Management Guidance vs Delivery

What management saidWhereWhat happenedVerdict
EBITDA Rs.7/SCM long-term; Rs.8 by FY27/FY28reiterated on the Q1 FY27 earnings call (Aug 14, 2026) and prior concallsEBITDA/SCM −0.34 (vs 5.17 in Q2 FY26)Missed
+Rs.1.25/SCM run-rate margin build from Q3 FY26 (tariff + Gujarat VAT + labour-code non-reversal)Q3 FY26 earnings-call margin walkEBITDA/SCM fell 5.17 → 3.36 → −0.34 across three quartersMissed
11 MMSCMD volumes by '27management volume guidance (prior concalls)10.06 MMSCMD in Q2 FY27On Track
Capex ~Rs.1,800–2,000 Cr FY27Q1 FY27 earnings callH1 Rs.669.39 Cr (≈33–37% of the low end at half-year)Stretch
DTC drag cleared; ~10% CNG growth by Q3 FY27Q1 FY27 earnings callCNG +8.7% YoY; DTC split not disclosedToo Early
+Re 1/SCM Delhi tariff benefit on notification implementationprior concallsno implementation disclosed in this filingToo Early

Key Numbers, Quarter by Quarter

MetricQ2 FY26Q3 FY26Q1 FY27Q2 FY27
Volume (MScm)857.00867.00878.98925.59
MMSCMD9.31—9.6610.06
EBITDA (Rs. Cr)442.83473.00295.50(31.11)
EBITDA/SCM (Rs.)5.175.403.36(0.34)
PAT (Rs. Cr)372.51358.00186.1824.38

Key Investment Insights

Key Positives

  • Total volumes grew 8.0% YoY to 925.59 Million Scm (10.06 MMSCMD), tracking the 11 MMSCMD-by-'27 target
  • Net revenue grew 27.2% YoY to Rs.5,116.23 Cr on blended realization/SCM of Rs.55.28 (+17.7%)
  • CNG volumes grew 8.7% YoY and PNG-domestic volumes grew 16.4% YoY
  • CNG realization rose 8.1% to Rs.50.56/SCM while CNG volumes still grew, indicating maintained delta with alternate fuels
  • H1 operating cash flow of Rs.798.21 Cr was 3.79x H1 PAT with FCF of +Rs.128.82 Cr
  • Liquidity of Rs.4,524.18 Cr (cash + bank balances + investments) against near-zero borrowings
  • Employee costs fell 12.3% YoY, limiting the margin damage

Risk Factors

  • EBITDA turned negative at -31.11 Cr (-0.61% margin) vs +442.83 Cr (11.01%) YoY, a -107% decline
  • Gas purchase cost/SCM rose 36.9% YoY to Rs.50.20 vs net realization/SCM up 17.7% to Rs.55.28, leaving EBITDA/SCM at -0.34
  • PAT fell 93.5% YoY to Rs.24.38 Cr and is only positive due to a tax credit of -14.79 Cr (effective tax rate -154.2%)
  • EBITDA/SCM of -0.34 vs management's reiterated Rs.7/SCM target (Rs.8 by FY27/FY28); the +Rs.1.25/SCM margin build is contradicted
  • H1 capex of Rs.669.39 Cr is ~33-37% of the Rs.1,800-2,000 Cr FY27 plan, requiring ~Rs.1,131-1,331 Cr in H2
  • DDA licence-fee demand of Rs.330.73 Cr (excl. interest) carried as contingent liability with an auditor Emphasis of Matter
  • IGL Genesis subsidiary: loan interest of Rs.3.58 Cr overdue since 31-Dec-2025, principal of Rs.34.46 Cr reclassified as current asset; H1 net loss Rs.9.45 Cr
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Disclaimer: This results analysis is published for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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