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ITC Ltd (ITC) Q2 Results FY27 Preview: Date, Time, Expectations & Key Things To Watch

Cofacto Research Published October 28, 2026 6 min read

ITC Ltd is a diversified Indian conglomerate spanning FMCG, cigarettes, paperboards, agri-business and IT services, and this is its first full quarter under the steep cigarette tax regime that took effect February 1, 2026. The print will speak to how far cigarette net revenue and segment profit decline under the new 40% GST-plus-excise structure, and whether FMCG-Others margin and the Paperboards recovery — now boosted by the Century Pulp and Paper acquisition — hold up.

Quick Details
Results dateNovember 02, 2026
QuarterQ2 FY 2026-2027
Previous quarter revenueRs. 26,943.23 Cr (standalone, Q1 FY27)
Previous quarter PATRs. 3,578.82 Cr (standalone, Q1 FY27)
Market capRs. 325,203.13 Cr
CMPRs. 259.5

ITC Ltd Q2 Results Date and Time

The Board of ITC Ltd will meet on Monday, November 2, 2026, to approve unaudited standalone and consolidated financial results for the quarter and six months ended September 30, 2026, along with balance sheet, cash flow statement and segment disclosures, under Regulation 29 of SEBI LODR.

What to expect from ITC Ltd's Q2 FY27 results

The dominant question this quarter is how ITC's cigarette business performs under the February 1, 2026 tax regime — 40% GST plus a length-based excise duty of Rs. 2,050-8,500 per 1,000 sticks — after Q1 FY27 net revenue fell 25% and segment results fell 35%. Management took a further round of price increases in September 2026 across select brands such as Classic Connect and Gold Flake Super Star, consistent with its stated 'calibrated pricing' approach, and post-Q1 Reuters reporting indicated resilient cigarette volumes had eased fears of migration to illicit sticks. FMCG-Others enters the quarter with momentum — Q1 revenue up 12% (ex-Staples +16%) and PBIT up 21% — though edible-oil input costs ran 8-20% higher YoY through the window, with the September 24 customs duty cuts landing only as a Q3 tailwind. Paperboards carries two tailwinds: the minimum import price on Virgin Multi-layer Paper Board was extended to March 31, 2027, and the Rs. 3,498 Cr Century Pulp and Paper acquisition, completed August 1, 2026, adds 4.8 lakh tpa and takes ITC's paper capacity to ~1.5 mn MT with a first partial-quarter contribution. The West Asia conflict kept crude elevated through the quarter — Brent breached $100 on September 9 — sustaining the trade-disruption overhang that drove Q1 agri revenue down 17% (underlying +9%), while a monsoon deficit of 15% below LPA and emerging El Nino conditions remain monitorables for rural demand.

Key Things To Watch

Cigarettes under the new tax regime: Q1 FY27 showed the sharpest impact of the February 2026 tax change.

  • Q1 FY27 Net Revenue was down 25% and Segment Results down 35%; watch whether the decline moderates after September 2026 price increases across select brands
  • Scaling of the 30+ portfolio interventions implemented in Q1 FY27 across segments and price points, and whether execution remains 'in line with internal plans'
  • Any disclosed read on volume migration to illicit trade — India is the 4th largest illicit cigarette market globally, costing the Exchequer appx. Rs. 23,000 cr p.a.

Century Pulp and Paper integration

  • First contribution from the Rs. 3,498 Cr slump-sale acquisition completed August 1, 2026, adding 4.8 lakh tpa and taking paper capacity to ~1.5 mn MT
  • Integration into the Paperboards & Packaging segment with added depreciation and finance cost lines

Paper MIP and anti-dumping duty status

  • MIP of Rs. 67,220/MT (CIF) on Virgin Multi-layer Paper Board, which expired September 30, 2026, was extended to March 31, 2027
  • Anti-dumping duty on Indonesian VMPB recommended by DGTR on June 25, 2026 (US$261/t for APP Riau, nil for Indah Kiat, US$376/t for others) still pending finance-ministry notification
  • Wood price trend against the open-ended guidance that 'prices are expected to moderate going forward'

FMCG-Others margin defence

  • Segment margin at 10% ex-Sresta in Q1 FY27 (+55 bps YoY) against edible-oil inflation of 8-20% YoY through the quarter; September 24 duty cuts framed as Q3 relief
  • Sustainability of the Notebook rebound and Digital-first & Organic ARR trajectory at ~Rs. 1,500 cr

Performance vs Guidance Tracking

  • Combined ITC Infotech + Happiest Minds revenue — US$1 billion by FY28 (pro-forma) — in progress
  • Happiest Minds EPS accretion — first full year post-completion — pending completion
  • Happiest Minds share purchase completion — 3-8 months from August 31, 2026 — subject to CCI, NCLT, stock-exchange and other approvals; amalgamation scheme ~15 months
  • Revenue synergies of c.10% and c.100 bps margin expansion — open-ended guidance
  • Leaf tobacco domestic demand — 'in the near term is expected to be subdued' — open-ended guidance

Frequently Asked Questions

How did ITC's cigarette business perform after the February 2026 tax increase?

In Q1 FY27, cigarette Net Revenue (net of excise) fell 25% while gross segment revenue rose 81% due to excise-duty inclusion, and Segment Results fell 35%. Management stated that 'Strategy, execution and outcomes tracking well in line with internal plans' with over 30 portfolio interventions implemented.

Why did ITC's Q1 FY27 revenue rise 28% while profit fell?

The government increased GST and Central Excise duty on cigarettes effective February 1, 2026, and excise duty is not excluded from gross revenue under Ind AS 115 — standalone expenses included excise duty of Rs. 10,035.63 Cr vs Rs. 1,309.07 Cr a year earlier, an incremental burden of Rs. 8,726.56 Cr. This inflated revenue while depressing PBT and PAT comparisons, with standalone PAT down 27.12% YoY.

What is ITC's plan for ITC Infotech and Happiest Minds?

ITC Infotech is acquiring 22.106% of Happiest Minds from promoter Ashok Soota entities for ~Rs. 1,330 Cr, funded via a Rights Issue, with Happiest Minds to amalgamate into ITC Infotech and its shares to be listed. The combined entity targets US$1 billion revenue by FY28 (pro-forma), with share purchase completion in 3-8 months from August 31, 2026, subject to CCI, NCLT and stock-exchange approvals.

How is ITC engaging the government on cigarette taxation?

Management has stated that the legal cigarette industry 'continues to engage with policymakers for a framework of pragmatic, equitable, non-discriminatory, evidence-based regulations and taxation policies'. It has also flagged that illicit trade causes a loss of appx. Rs. 23,000 cr p.a. to the Exchequer and accounts for about one-third of the legal industry.

Is ITC's FMCG (non-cigarette) business still growing?

Yes — FMCG-Others revenue grew from Rs. 5,964 Cr in Q2 FY26 to Rs. 6,482 Cr in Q1 FY27, up 12% YoY (ex-Staples +16%) with PBIT up 21%. Dairy, Snacks, Noodles and Frozen Snacks grew 20%+ in Q1 FY27, and the Digital-first & Organic portfolio ARR reached ~Rs. 1,500 cr.

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