NSDL Q2 FY27 Results Analysis: Revenue Jumps 36%, Margin Compresses 463 bps

Cofacto Research Published October 31, 2026 4 min read
Neutral

NSDL's Q2 FY27 numbers came in mixed, with revenue of Rs. 545.89 Cr (+36.46% YoY) and PAT growth of +10.93% YoY. Here's a quick read of what worked, what to watch, and what management said.

Quick Details
Results dateOctober 31, 2026
Revenue (Q2)Rs. 545.89 Cr (+36.46% YoY)
PAT (Q2)Rs. 122.45 Cr (+10.93% YoY)
EBITDA margin30.65% (-608 bps YoY)
EPS (Q2)Rs. 6.11 (+10.69% YoY)

Quarter Snapshot

NSDL delivered 36.46% consolidated revenue growth and 10.93% PAT growth, with the depository segment contributing 88.45% of segment results and database management margins expanding sharply. Margin compression persists YoY (standalone operating margin −463 bps), but sequential cost discipline (employee +1.34% QoQ) and capex down 33.69% YoY confirm the guided investment taper, setting up potential operating leverage in coming quarters. No numeric guidance exists to score against, and open contingencies (Rs.28.68 cr GST demand, Karvy/SAT) remain unprovided.

Q2 FY27 Expectations vs Results

DriverExpected before resultsWhat happenedVerdict
Standalone revenue"likely ahead YoY on flows, against a stiff seasonal base… the YoY comp is the toughest of the year"+11.58% YoY to Rs.227.80 crPlayed out
Consolidated revenue"growth should decelerate sharply" after the Q1 NPBL peak+36.46% YoY vs +65.6% in Q1; banking −6.73% QoQPlayed out
Margins"compressing bias, with the first guided relief possible"SA operating margin −463 bps YoY but +434 bps QoQ; employee +1.34% QoQ; capex −33.69% YoYPartially
GST event"any provision or interest/penalty quantification booked with Q2 numbers would move them"No provision; matter contested; PAT unadjustedPlayed out
Rates/treasuryrising G-Sec yields "support accrual income… but are a mark-to-market drag"Other income +12.10% YoY standalone; no MTM split in filingPartially
Flow/share metrics, unlisted bandwatch-list itemsNot disclosed in the Q2 filing — remains open for the callNot observable
NPBL normalization"NPBL normalisation after the Q1 card-onboarding peak"Banking revenue −6.73% QoQ, result up on CASA/transaction mixPlayed out

Read our full results preview.

Management Guidance vs Delivery

What management saidWhereWhat happenedVerdict
Technology capex to decline in FY27 after Rs.106 cr FY26 spendQ4 FY26 / Q1 FY27 earnings callsH1 FY27 consolidated capex Rs.33.02 cr, −33.69% YoYOn Track
"Much lower" employee additions in FY27; hiring largely done by Q1Q1 FY27 earnings callStandalone employee cost +1.34% QoQ (Rs.35.15 cr vs Rs.34.68 cr); YoY +22.27% is base effectOn Track
Custody fee "secular growth"Q4 FY26 earnings callDepository segment revenue +11.59% YoY (fee-line split not in filing) — proxyOn Track
"The depository business, not the bank, is the primary value driver"prior-quarter callsDepository = 88.45% of Q2 segment results on 41.73% of revenueConfirmed
Payments Bank card-onboarding fees were pass-through and "peaked in Q1"Q1 FY27 earnings callBanking revenue −6.73% QoQ; segment result Rs.5.83 cr vs Rs.1.88 cr in Q1Confirmed
Technology/people investment front-loads costs; operating leverage to followQ1 FY27 call, MD & CEOMargin still compressed YoY, but employee flat QoQ and capex −33.69% YoY — inflection startingToo Early
No specific numeric guidance for 1–2 years; "current momentum" confidenceQ3 FY26 call (Jan 2026)Q2 delivered +10.93% consolidated PAT growthConsistent

Key Numbers, Quarter by Quarter

MetricQ2 FY26Q3 FY26Q4 FY26Q1 FY27Q2 FY27
BO/Demat accounts (mn)41.943.244.445.6—
Issuers registered102,238107,051111,379115,107—
Incremental demat share17.6%14.65%14.0%~17.5%—
NPBL customers (mn)3.33.754.45.0—
NPBL deposits (Rs. cr)—>475521477—

Key Investment Insights

Key Positives

  • Consolidated revenue grew 36.46% YoY to Rs.545.89 cr; standalone depository revenue grew 11.58% YoY to Rs.227.80 cr (+25.05% QoQ)
  • Consolidated PAT grew 10.93% YoY to Rs.122.45 cr; standalone PAT jumped 42.11% QoQ to Rs.126.67 cr
  • Database management segment result grew 83.56% YoY with margin expanding to 33.58% from 24.01%
  • Banking services segment result grew 267.72% YoY to Rs.5.83 cr while pass-through revenue normalized (−6.73% QoQ)
  • H1 consolidated capex fell 33.69% YoY to Rs.33.02 cr, confirming the guided FY27 capex decline; standalone employee cost nearly flat QoQ (+1.34%)
  • H1 consolidated CFO of Rs.300.36 cr was 1.36x PAT; FCF of Rs.267.34 cr
  • Depository segment delivered 88.45% of segment results on 41.73% of revenue, confirming the core profit engine

Risk Factors

  • Standalone operating margin 463 bps below year-ago 52.77%; consolidated EBITDA margin fell to 30.65% from 36.73% YoY
  • Consolidated other expenses rose 55.12% YoY and total expenses grew 47.61% YoY vs revenue +36.46%
  • Trade receivables rose 48.46% since March 2026 to Rs.254.15 cr with H1 bad debts of Rs.26.41 cr (net charge Rs.3.76 cr after reversals)
  • Unprovided GST demand of Rs.28.68 cr and Karvy/SAT matter (~Rs.1,435.05 cr system-wide dues) remain open contingencies
  • Standalone PAT growth of 5.20% YoY trails standalone revenue growth of 11.58%
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Disclaimer: This results analysis is published for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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