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NTPCGREEN Q2 FY27 Results Analysis: PAT Jumps 59%, EBITDA Margin Expands 195 bps

Cofacto Research Published October 30, 2026 3 min read
Neutral

NTPCGREEN's Q2 FY27 numbers came in mixed, with revenue of Rs. 938.16 Cr (+53.22% YoY) and PAT growth of +59.18% YoY. Here's a quick read of what worked, what to watch, and what management said.

Quick Details
Results dateOctober 30, 2026
Revenue (Q2)Rs. 938.16 Cr (+53.22% YoY)
PAT (Q2)Rs. 137.50 Cr (+59.18% YoY)
EBITDA margin88.44% (+195 bps YoY)
EPS (Q2)Rs. 0.16 (+60.00% YoY)

Quarter Snapshot

NTPCGREEN delivered 53.22% YoY revenue growth and 59.18% PAT growth with 195 bps YoY EBITDA margin expansion, alongside 606.89 MW of capacity additions and a 500 MW FDRE-IX win at Rs.6.00/kWh. The quarter faded sequentially — revenue fell 15.24% QoQ and PBT fell 55.04% QoQ — while net debt rose 17.74% in six months to Rs.34,391.62 Cr with net D/E at 1.75x. No FY27 guidance exists in the record, so no guidance comparison can be scored; the 60 GW by 2032 target remains the only dated goal against 11,328.69 MW operating.

Q2 FY27 Expectations vs Results

DriverWhat happenedVerdict
"Revenue / demand — likely ahead (YoY)" on CODs annualizingRevenue Rs.938.16 Cr, +53.22% YoYPlayed out
Operating margin "broadly flat-to-expanding"88.44%: +1.95 pp YoY, but −0.89 pp below Q1's 89.33%Partially
Finance costs "the compressing line"Rs.377.99 Cr, +82.67% YoY, +17.57% QoQ — pressure deepenedPlayed out
Watch: Q2 CUF vs 22.48% FY26 / curtailment bridgeNot disclosed in the filingNot observable
Watch: funding cost / Rs.3,350 Cr NTPC REL rights issueBorrowings +Rs.6,279.72 Cr H1; Rs.2,500 Cr NCD raised 09 Jul 2026; rights issue not addressed in the filingPartially
Watch: 60 GW path / FY27 interim milestone11,328.69 MW at 10 Oct 2026; no interim milestone givenPartially
Watch: change-in-law receivable collection; FDRE-IX PPA signingNon-current receivables Rs.162.93 Cr vs Rs.99.05 Cr; no PPA disclosureNot observable
Pre-registered one-time itemsNone — Q2 other income carries NIL one-time (IPO interest); reported PAT is cleann/a

Read our full results preview.

Management Guidance vs Delivery

What management saidWhat happenedVerdict
"Growth … despite higher interest and depreciation charges arising from expansion activities" (FY26 Annual Report management commentary)Finance costs +82.67% YoY, D&A +49.06% YoY in Q2 — the drag continued and deepened; PAT still +59.18% YoYConfirmed
Focus on "timely commissioning" / disciplined execution (FY26 AR outlook)606.89 MW of CODs across 10 filings Jul 23–Oct 10, 2026, lifting group capacity 10,721.80 → 11,328.69 MW (exchange COD filings)Confirmed
Commercial discipline — 100% billing realization with LC-backed security (FY26 AR)Current receivables broadly flat QoQ; but non-current receivables rose Rs.99.05 → Rs.162.93 Cr — collections trend not derivable from the quarterly filingToo Early

Key Numbers, Quarter by Quarter

Metric31 Mar 202623 Jul 202610 Oct 2026
Group operating capacity10,076 MW10,721.80 MW11,328.69 MW

Key Investment Insights

Key Positives

  • Consolidated revenue grew 53.22% YoY to Rs.938.16 Cr; H1 revenue up 58.22% YoY
  • PAT grew 59.18% YoY to Rs.137.50 Cr; H1 PAT up 44.15% YoY
  • Operating EBITDA margin of 88.44%, up 195 bps YoY
  • 606.89 MW commissioned across 10 CODs between Jul 23 and Oct 10, 2026, lifting capacity to 11,328.69 MW
  • 500 MW FDRE-IX win at Rs.6.00/kWh in Aug 2026
  • H1 CFO of Rs.1,699.47 Cr, 3.84x PAT
  • Rs.2,500 Cr NCD raised on 09/07/2026 with no deviation in use of proceeds and no outstanding default

Risk Factors

  • Revenue fell 15.24% QoQ while finance costs rose 17.57% QoQ; PBT fell 55.04% QoQ
  • Finance costs up 82.67% YoY to Rs.377.99 Cr; net D/E rose to 1.75x from 1.52x at FY26
  • FCF was negative at Rs.(4,364.87) Cr in H1, funded by Rs.6,279.72 Cr of new borrowings
  • Non-current trade receivables rose from Rs.99.05 Cr to Rs.162.93 Cr since FY26, with collectability unproven
  • Two unreviewed subsidiaries with combined assets of Rs.46,457.32 Cr posted a combined Q2 net loss of Rs.(37.50) Cr
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Disclaimer: This results analysis is published for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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