Oil India Limited (OIL) Q2 Results FY27 Preview: Date, Time, Expectations & Key Things To Watch

Cofacto Research Published November 07, 2026 6 min read

Oil India Limited, the upstream producer behind record Q1 FY27 results and parent of Numaligarh Refinery, heads into its Q2 FY 2026-2027 print with crude realizations riding a sharply higher oil-price quarter. The two biggest items to watch are the promised disclosure on the ~Rs. 2,500 Cr GST-on-royalty payment and how NRL's gross refining margin normalizes from the spike-aided USD 35.95/bbl of Q1.

Quick Details
Results dateNovember 12, 2026
QuarterQ2 FY 2026-2027
Previous quarter revenueRs. 7,958.14 Cr (standalone); Rs. 12,886.27 Cr (consolidated)
Previous quarter PATRs. 2,870.21 Cr (standalone); Rs. 4,026.83 Cr (consolidated)
Previous quarter EBITDA margin54% plus (management-stated, standalone)
Market capRs. 72,205.12 Cr
CMPRs. 443.9

Oil India Limited Q2 Results Date and Time

The Board of Oil India Limited will meet on 12 Nov 2026 to approve the standalone and consolidated financial results for the quarter and half year ended 30 Sep 2026 (Q2/H1 FY27) and consider an interim dividend for FY 2026-27.

What to expect from Oil India Limited's Q2 FY27 results

The Q2 FY27 print is set against a sharply higher crude-price quarter, with India's average imported crude price at about $96/bbl versus $101 in Q1 FY27 and roughly 37% higher YoY, keeping realizations a strong YoY tailwind after the Q1 realized price of USD 98.73/bbl. Volume momentum carried through the open months: OIL's nomination-block crude rose 16.05% YoY in July 2026 and grew 18% over July-August while management guided close to 1 MMT of crude production each quarter toward the FY27 target of 3.9-4.0 MMT.

Gas remains the softer line, gated by evacuation constraints with 30 wells shut in on average and up to 60 at low consumption, and the nomination-gas realization stays capped at $7.00/MMBTU despite the headline APM price reset to $11.22/MMBTU for October.

The margin swing factor sits at NRL, where the Q1 reported GRM of USD 35.95/bbl (normalized about USD 33 after a ~USD 2/bbl inventory gain) sits far above the typical USD 7-8, and domestic excise duty rates were unchanged through the quarter, leaving the SAED/excise composition of the GRM as the unanswered bridge item from the Q1 call.

On the balance sheet, the court-granted six-week window for the ~Rs. 2,500 Cr GST-on-royalty principal closed at quarter-end, with the disclosure of the released amount promised in the Q2 financials and no P&L impact expected since the amount has been provisioned since July 2017. The upcoming call is also expected to cover commissioning status of the NRL CDU/VDU, DHDT and SRU units targeted for October-November 2026 and the Paradip-Numaligarh crude pipeline due by December 2026.

Key Things To Watch

Guidance scorecard from the Q1 FY27 call: Management's stated targets and where tracking stood as of the last update.

  • Wells drilled — 100 wells (42 exploratory + 57 development) by FY27 — 17 drilled in Q1; management said 'currently we are on track to achieve that big ambition'
  • Crude production — 3.9-4.0 MMT by FY27 — 0.950 MMT in Q1 with 'close to 1 MMT of crude oil production each quarter' expected
  • Capex — Rs. 8,600 Cr FY27 budget flagged for revision — Q1 spend Rs. 3,050 Cr, 35.47% of budget
  • GST-on-royalty — ~Rs. 2,500 Cr principal payable within the court's six-week window; disclosure of the released amount promised in Q2 FY27 financials
  • NRL units — CDU/VDU + DHDT + SRU commissioning targeted by Oct/Nov 2026 (SRU was ~2 months out as of Aug 2026); remaining units by 31 Mar 2027

Q2-FY27-specific disclosures: Items that fall due within or immediately after the quarter.

  • GST-on-royalty release disclosure promised in Q2 financials; cumulative provision Rs. 5,043.33 Cr including interest of Rs. 996.25 Cr, with Rs. 1,499.62 Cr deposited under protest
  • Interim dividend decision for FY 2026-27 on the 12 Nov 2026 board agenda
  • Damage and production impact of the 6 Nov 2026 fire at ITF-Tengakhat (1 fatality, 6 injured); internal inquiry constituted and damage assessment pending

Exploration follow-ups: Andaman and KG Basin: Appraisal decisions and write-down risk on high-spend wells.

  • Vijayapuram-1 hydrofrac testing outcome — decision was expected September; Rs. 1,000-1,050 Cr spent with write-down risk if testing fails; side-tracking feasibility under evaluation
  • Vijayapuram-3 appraisal plan on new 3D seismic with a decision by April; fourth Andaman well planned for December 2026
  • KG Basin Matsyapuri discovery via Godavari-1 — gas flow up to 2 Lakh SCUMD plus ~170 bopd condensate (API 55.8) from 16 Oct 2026 testing; appraisal next steps to watch

Operating metrics to probe: realizations, GRM and cost run-rates: The numbers that will frame the margin conversation.

  • Crude realization trajectory after USD 98.73/bbl in Q1, against a quarter-average Indian crude basket of about $96/bbl in Q2 FY27
  • NRL GRM normalization from USD 35.95/bbl (normalized ~USD 33) toward the typical USD 7-8, including the SAED/excise composition answer skipped on the Q1 call and the Q2 inventory gain/loss sign
  • Contract cost and seismic cost run-rates — Q1 FY27 contract cost was Rs. 615 Cr vs Rs. 470 Cr, with ~Rs. 100 Cr of extra G&G cost for offshore blocks; any fresh exploration write-offs after Q2 FY26's ~Rs. 1,423 Cr (Bangladesh/Gabon ~Rs. 700 Cr plus Rs. 723 Cr Vijayapuram-2)

Narrative shifts: gas evacuation, capex revision and production targets: Whether management reiterates or revises the FY27 path.

  • Capex budget revision beyond Rs. 8,600 Cr, with the FY27 budget stated to 'undergo some changes and revision during our next review'
  • Mozambique LNG status — 6.5 MMTPA from the first two trains with ~$300 million escalation pending CCEA approval; Russia dividend of ~USD 300 million still stuck in the SBI Moscow branch as of 17 Sep 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

How will the GST-on-royalty payment affect Oil India's Q2 FY27 financials?

The principal of about Rs. 2,500 Cr was to be paid within a court-granted six-week window, and since the amount has been provisioned since July 2017 there is no fresh P&L impact expected. The disclosure of the released amount is promised in the Q2 FY27 financials.

Why is Numaligarh Refinery's GRM so high and what is the normalized level?

NRL's reported Q1 FY27 GRM of USD 35.95/bbl includes an inventory gain of approximately USD 2/bbl, taking the normalized level to about USD 33. Management has indicated the typical GRM is USD 7-8, and the excise/SAED component of the margin was a question left unanswered on the Q1 call.

How much has Oil India invested in the NRL expansion so far?

About Rs. 30,000 crores has been invested, with the refinery expected to complete at Rs. 34,000-35,000 crores and the polypropylene unit adding another Rs. 7,200-7,300 crores. The debt component at NRL stands at Rs. 19,000 crores.

What is the status of Oil India's Andaman exploration wells?

Vijayapuram-3 testing was completed in July with an appraisal decision planned by April, while Vijayapuram-1 hydrofrac testing was expected to conclude in August with a decision in September. Vijayapuram-1 expenditure is about Rs. 1,000-1,050 crores and a fourth Andaman well is planned for December 2026.

When will Oil India's gas production ramp up?

Gas volumes are currently gated by evacuation, with DNPL now a common carrier, a 200-meter IGGL link expected in 2-3 months from August 2026, and capacity augmentation from 1 to 2 and then 2.5 MMSCMD. Management said a 'big jump will happen in 28th first quarter', with additional evacuation of 3.5-4 MMSCMD due by December 2027.

Disclaimer: This earnings preview is published for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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