Paradeep Phosphates Limited (PARADEEP) Q2 Results FY27 Preview: Date, Time, Expectations & Key Things To Watch

Cofacto Research Published October 26, 2026 5 min read

Paradeep Phosphates is one of India's largest private-sector fertilizer manufacturers, making DAP, NPK complexes and urea across Paradeep, Goa and Mangalore following the MCFL merger. This quarter's print will speak to whether EBITDA per ton holds up against a sharp rise in sulphur and phosphoric acid costs, and how much of the secured ~0.5 million tons of imported volumes landed in Q2.

Quick Details
Results dateOctober 29, 2026
QuarterQ2 FY 2026-2027
Previous quarter revenueRs. 6,124.3 Cr
Previous quarter PATRs. 393.2 Cr
Previous quarter EBITDA margin12.1%
Market capRs. 14,380.27 Cr
CMPRs. 138.5

Paradeep Phosphates Limited Q2 Results Date and Time

The board of Paradeep Phosphates meets on Thursday, October 29, 2026, to approve unaudited results for the quarter and half year ended September 30, 2026. The trading window remains closed till October 31, 2026 under the company's Insider Trading Code.

Separately, the company's AGM notice carried a final dividend of Rs. 1.50 per share (15% on Rs. 10 face value) for FY26, with a record date of September 4, 2026. This relates to FY26 and was approved at the September 17, 2026 AGM.

What to expect from Paradeep Phosphates Limited's Q2 FY27 results

The central question for Q2 FY27 is whether Paradeep Phosphates can hold its EBITDA per ton economics after input costs spiked through the quarter — landed sulphur roughly doubled since January to about $1,050–1,100/tonne and phosphoric acid climbed to $1,700/t by late September, while DAP imports sat near $900–940/t. Demand ran softer than the strong year-ago base: cumulative April–August point-of-sale sales fell across nutrients, with NP/NPK complex down 19.4% and urea down 5.9%, and kharif sowing about 2% below last year amid rainfall deficiency, though the farmer mix shifted toward DAP — which favors the company's DAP-heavy book. Offsets include backward integration (sulphuric acid running at both Mangalore and Paradeep, with the 0.2 MMTPA phosphoric acid addition committed for Q2 FY27 commissioning), lower-cost inventory drawn from Rs. 4,626.70 Cr of stocks at March 31, 2026, and about 0.5 million tons of imports secured for Q2–Q3 against last year's 270,000 tons of traded volumes. Ammonia offered the only input relief, settling down $110/MT and then a further $30/MT, though it contributes less than 20% of complex-fertilizer costs, and no NBS rate revision notification for 2026-27 had surfaced in the searches. Management's Q1 markers — EBITDA/ton of about Rs. 7,000 against a Rs. 5,000/ton sustainable target by end-FY27 — were set before the renewed input spike, and formal FY27 guidance remains withdrawn since the Q4 FY26 call on Middle East volatility; whether H1 EBITDA/ton holds above Rs. 5,000 and whether quantified guidance is re-instated is the call's central unknown.

Key Things To Watch

EBITDA per ton vs targets: Q1 FY27 ran at about Rs. 7,000/ton against management's Rs. 5,000/ton sustainable target by end-FY27.

  • Whether H1 sustains above the Rs. 5,000/ton end-FY27 target and progress toward Rs. 7,000+/ton within 2–2.5 years
  • Whether management re-instates formal per-ton guidance after withdrawing it in May 2026 on Middle East volatility

Phosphoric acid Phase-I and granulation debottlenecking

  • Phosphoric acid Phase-I: 5→6 lakh tons by December 2026 and 6→7 lakh tons by next August (FY27), with the 0.2 MMTPA addition committed for Q2 FY27 commissioning
  • Granulation debottlenecking from 3.7 to 4.0 million tons by December (contract awarded), with incremental volumes guided for H2 FY27

Traded volume ramp and raw material visibility

  • Whether Q2 traded volumes materialize from the ~0.5 million tons of imports secured for Q2–Q3, against very low Q1 traded DAP of ~1,000 tons
  • Purchase-of-trading-goods line, which jumped to Rs. 18,573 Mn in Q1 FY27 from Rs. 3,200 Mn in Q4 FY26
  • Update on sulphur (Rs. 540–550), ammonia and phosphoric acid CFR trends after Q2 visibility was flagged as uncertain at the Q4 call

Customs penalty and SC-upheld subsidy claim

  • Legal recourse strategy and provisioning treatment for the Rs. 93.59 Cr Customs, Goa order (Rs. 23.26 Cr redemption fine plus Rs. 46.52 Cr and Rs. 23.81 Cr penalties) against management's 'no material operational impact' stance
  • Whether the Supreme Court-upheld Rs. 53.50 Cr subsidy claim plus applicable interest has been received and its cash-flow effect

Debt, subsidy receivables and capex execution

  • Whether debt continues to 'soften down in the coming quarters' after the ~Rs. 700 Cr Q1 reduction, against gross debt of Rs. 6,500 Cr and a subsidy receivable of Rs. 4,600 Cr at June 30, 2026
  • FY27 normal capex of ~Rs. 600 Cr, the 3,000 TPD sulphuric acid project commercial-offer decision, and the larger Rs. 3,500–3,600 Cr program timing (mid-FY29/Q2 FY29)
  • Execution of the Rs. 250 Cr AlF3 plant, conversion of the Rs. 4,750 Cr Odisha MoU into definitive plans, and progress toward at least 20% of EBITDA from non-subsidy businesses

Frequently Asked Questions

Why did Paradeep Phosphates report 9.85 lakh tons of Q1 FY27 sales volumes when product-level volumes sum higher?

Management explained that Zypmite (~15,000 tons), a soil conditioner, is excluded from the headline 9.85 lakh ton number, which reconciles the gap versus the computed ~10.03 lakh tons. Total fertilizer volumes still grew 4.0% YoY to 985,143 MT.

Why does Paradeep Phosphates prefer EBITDA per ton over EBITDA margin?

Management has said the percentage 'is not the right metrics for us as an industry' and that the right metric is EBITDA per ton. Q1 FY27 ran at about Rs. 7,000/ton versus Rs. 6,500 a year ago, with a Rs. 5,000/ton sustainable target by end-FY27.

How does the new urea policy affect Paradeep Phosphates' Goa and Mangalore plants?

Management quantified the newly notified urea policy at a positive impact of about Rs. 1,500/MT on Goa EBITDA and a reduction of Rs. 700–800/MT at Mangalore. Separately, the MCFL urea benchmark energy norm reduction from 7.3 to 6.5 impacted EBITDA by about Rs. 3,000/ton.

Is Paradeep Phosphates on track with its EBITDA per ton guidance?

Q1 FY27 ran at about Rs. 7,000/ton, above the Rs. 5,000/ton sustainable target by end-FY27, and management said it is 'expecting to cross this number'. However, formal FY27 guidance was withheld at the Q4 FY26 call citing Middle East geopolitical volatility, and none was given at the Q1 call.

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