Power Grid Corporation of India Ltd
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Power Grid Q2 FY27 Results Analysis: EBITDA Margin Expands 285 bps, PAT Jumps 8% (POWERGRID)

Cofacto Research Published November 01, 2026 4 min read
Positive

Power Grid Corporation of India Ltd's Q2 FY27 numbers came in strong, with revenue of Rs. 11,816.22 Cr (+2.97% YoY) and PAT growth of +8.41% YoY. Here's a quick read of what worked, what to watch, and what management said.

Quick Details
Results dateNovember 01, 2026
Revenue (Q2)Rs. 11,816.22 Cr (+2.97% YoY)
PAT (Q2)Rs. 3,866.16 Cr (+8.41% YoY)
EBITDA margin82.61% (+285 bps YoY)
EPS (Q2)Rs. 4.16 (+8.33% YoY)

Quarter Snapshot

Q2 FY27 was a cost-and-cash-led quarter: consolidated PAT grew 8.41% reported and 23.72% ex-regulatory-deferral, with EBITDA margin up 285 bps YoY to 82.61% despite modest 2.97% revenue growth. H1 capex of Rs.18,912.69 cr (51.1% of the Rs.37,000 cr FY27 guidance) was essentially self-funded by 25.86% YoY growth in operating cash flow, and a Rs.3.00/share interim dividend was declared. Soft spots are Telecom (PBIT −13.70% YoY) and Consultancy (revenue −15.30% YoY), while the regulatory-deferral swing remains a YoY headwind.

Q2 FY27 Expectations vs Results

DriverExpected before resultsWhat happenedVerdict
Revenue "in-line", standalone flatness risk"commissioning-driven revenue tailwind; reported revenue in-line"Consol +2.97% YoY; standalone +0.49%Played out
Interest line up"interest line up"Consol +2.01% YoY (SA +6.86%)Played out, weaker than feared
Deferred-tax remeasurement recurrencewatch itemNone — deferred tax +37.20 chargeContradicted
Regulatory-deferral swing"least-resolved driver"+94.14 (QoQ swing positive; YoY −423.13)Partially
H1 capex/capitalization progress"H1 progress vs Rs.30,000 cr / Rs.37,000 cr"Capex 51.1% of FY27 target; capitalization not in filingPartially
NCD pricing; TBCB disclosuresopen checksNot addressed in the filing — remain open for the callNot observable
1st interim dividendboard to considerDeclared Rs.3.00/share, record 06 Nov 2026Played out

Read our full results preview.

Management Guidance vs Delivery

What management saidWhereWhat happenedVerdict
FY27 capex Rs.37,000 cr (consolidated)Guided with Q1 FY27 results (Aug 2026); reiterated from Q4 FY26 callH1 consolidated capex Rs.18,912.69 cr = 51.1% of targetOn Track
FY27 capitalization Rs.30,000 cr (incl. finance-lease, excl. FERV)Guided with Q1 FY27 results (Aug 2026)Q2/H1 capitalization not disclosed in the filing (Q1 was Rs.5,277 cr per management)Too Early
Annual profits Rs.15,000 → Rs.19,000+ crQ4 FY26 call (Mar 2026), open-endedH1 consolidated PAT Rs.7,464.58 cr; ex-deferral H1 Rs.7,476.60 cr (+15.6% YoY)On Track
TBCB win rate >50%Q4 FY26 call, open-ended10 FY27 wins with Rs.7,863.63 cr cumulative annual charges by 16 Oct 2026 (per company announcements)On Track
FY28 capex Rs.45,000 cr / capitalization Rs.35,000 cr; ~Rs.65,000 cr over FY27+FY28Q4 FY26 callFY28 not yet assessableToo Early
Regulatory drag is "inherent" and transitoryQ1 FY27 concall (Aug 2026)Deferral movement swung from −106.16 (Q1) to +94.14 (Q2) QoQ, but is −423.13 YoY vs Q2 FY26's +517.27 — QoQ relief, YoY headwind persistsPartially
Transmission charges "not governed by power flow"Management commentary in prior notesRevenue still grew only +2.97% YoY consolidated despite record Q2 demand per pre-call data; charges are fixed-annuity and move with capitalization timing, not demand — structural), with capitalization phasing still the…Confirmed
Capitalization ramp ("FY27-27 would witness the fruits")Q4 FY26 callCapex +33.47% YoY in H1 supports the pipeline; capitalization figure not disclosed this quarterToo Early

Key Numbers, Quarter by Quarter

MetricQ2 FY26Q1 FY27Q2 FY27
Reg-deferral net movement, consol (Rs. cr)+517.27−106.16+94.14
TBCB wins FY27 (cumulative)—6 by Jul 202610 by 16 Oct 2026 (Rs.7,863.63 cr annual charges)
Capitalization (Rs. cr)—5,277Not disclosed in filing

Key Investment Insights

Key Positives

  • Consolidated PAT grew 8.41% YoY reported and 23.72% ex-regulatory-deferral to Rs.3,866.16 cr
  • Consolidated EBITDA margin expanded 285 bps YoY to 82.61% on the company's presentation basis
  • H1 operating cash flow of Rs.18,668.09 cr grew 25.86% YoY, 2.50x PAT
  • H1 capex of Rs.18,912.69 cr (+33.47% YoY) reached 51.1% of the FY27 Rs.37,000 cr guidance and was essentially self-funded (FCF −Rs.244.60 cr)
  • Finance costs rose only 2.01% YoY consolidated despite borrowings up 11.25%; other expenses fell 17.82% YoY
  • First interim dividend of Rs.3.00/share declared, ~37.4% of H1 consolidated PAT
  • Effective tax rate fell to 17.43% from 21.39% YoY
  • 10 TBCB wins in FY27 with Rs.7,863.63 cr cumulative annual charges by 16 Oct 2026, tracking the >50% win-rate guidance

Risk Factors

  • Telecom segment PBIT fell 13.70% YoY with margin down 533 bps to 42.01%
  • Consultancy revenue fell 15.30% YoY consolidated
  • Regulatory deferral movement swung −423.13 YoY (from +517.27 to +94.14), a persistent YoY headwind
  • Standalone revenue was near-flat at +0.49% YoY
  • Debt-equity drifted from 1.37 to 1.42 as borrowings grew 11.25% YoY; ISCR eased to 4.25 from 4.36
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Disclaimer: This results analysis is published for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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