SHYAMMETL Q2 FY27 Results Analysis: EBITDA Surges 41%, ED Attachment Weighs

Cofacto Research Published October 31, 2026 4 min read
Positive

SHYAMMETL's Q2 FY27 numbers came in strong, with revenue of Rs. 5,960.19 Cr (+33.42% YoY) and PAT growth of +88.47% YoY. Here's a quick read of what worked, what to watch, and what management said.

Quick Details
Results dateOctober 31, 2026
Revenue (Q2)Rs. 5,960.19 Cr (+33.42% YoY)
PAT (Q2)Rs. 493.35 Cr (+88.47% YoY)
EBITDA margin14.38% (+76 bps YoY)
EPS (Q2)Rs. 18.36 (+96.15% YoY)

Quarter Snapshot

Q2 FY27 delivered 33.42% YoY revenue growth and 40.85% YoY EBITDA growth with operating margin up 174 bps YoY, tracking management's FY27 EBITDA growth guidance of >20% with H2 needing only +6.15% YoY to achieve it. Reported PAT growth of 88.47% is flattered by a depreciation-method change worth ~Rs.133 crore tax-effected; the normalized +37.54% YoY still outpaces revenue. Watch items are the confirmed ED/PMLA attachment of Rs.152.48 crore at SSPL, rising finance costs (+76.28% YoY), and working-capital-funded capex.

Q2 FY27 Expectations vs Results

DriverExpected before resultsWhat happenedVerdict
Revenue"volumes and realizations trending ahead of the year-ago quarter, which itself was the weakest margin quarter"Revenue +33.42% YoYPlayed out
Margins"margins look more likely flat-to-expanding YoY"Operating margin 13.81% vs 12.07% YoY (+174 bps); −22 bps QoQ — YoY); marginally soft QoQPlayed out
Coking-coal/rupee squeeze"the main compression risk — concentrated at the quarter's exit and into Q3"Cost-of-materials ratio improved QoQ; finance costs +76.28% YoY — no Q2 cost spike; funding cost drag realPartially
ED/PMLA"confirmation... still awaited"Confirmed 9-Oct-2026 per filing note (filing wins) — developed post-quarterPartially
H1 segment-target checkpoint"H1 progress is the checkpoint"Single-segment filing — not derivableNot observable
Capex pace"watch H1 deployment"Rs.1,844.38 H1 vs Rs.2,900 FY27 targetPlayed out
Wagons/aluminium commissioning; QIP timingfirst updates dueNot addressed in the filing — remains open for the callNot observable

Read our full results preview.

Management Guidance vs Delivery

What management saidWhereWhat happenedVerdict
FY27 EBITDA growth >20% YoY ("internal projections over 25%")Q1 FY27 earnings call, Jul 2026H1 EBITDA incl. OI +34.45% YoY; operating EBITDA +41.93%On Track
EBITDA margin "around 14% to 15%" (long-term, described as "very conservative")Q1 FY27 earnings call, Jul 2026Q2: 14.38% incl. OI / 13.81% operating — inside band on the incl.-OI basis; just below on operatingOn Track
Debt-to-equity "will not exceed 0.5x"Q4 FY26 earnings call, May 20260.108x at 30-Sep-26Met
Capex Rs.2,900 Cr in FY27Q4 FY26 earnings call, May 2026Rs.1,844.38 in H1On Track
QIP completion within 365 daysBoard approval, 20 Jul 2026No execution updateToo Early

Key Investment Insights

Key Positives

  • Revenue grew 33.42% YoY to Rs.5,960.19 crore, the seventh consecutive quarter of sequential growth
  • EBITDA including other income grew 40.85% YoY to Rs.857.17 crore; operating EBITDA grew 52.57% YoY
  • Operating EBITDA margin expanded 174 bps YoY to 13.81% (14.38% including other income)
  • PAT attributable to owners grew 88.47% YoY to Rs.493.35 crore; normalized WDV-basis growth was 37.54% YoY
  • H1 CFO of Rs.1,544.46 crore was 1.79x PAT, up 149.18% YoY
  • Cost of materials improved to 73.83% of revenue from 77.26% in Q1, defying the coking-coal/rupee squeeze risk
  • Debt-to-equity at 0.108x, well inside management's 0.5x cap
  • H1 capex of Rs.1,844.38 crore on track against the Rs.2,900 crore FY27 target

Risk Factors

  • Depreciation method change (WDV to SLM) reduced Q2 D&A by Rs.171.77 crore, flattering reported PAT by ~Rs.133 crore tax-effected; normalized owners' PAT is Rs.360.03 crore
  • Finance costs rose 76.28% YoY to Rs.88.67 crore, consistent with capex-cycle funding build
  • ED/PMLA attachment of Rs.152.48 crore of investments at subsidiary Shyam SEL and Power Ltd was confirmed by the Adjudicating Authority on 9 October 2026; appeal filed
  • Free cash flow was negative at −Rs.299.92 crore in H1 amid peak capex
  • Other income fell 50.60% YoY to Rs.34.15 crore
  • Nine subsidiaries (total assets Rs.757.13 crore, H1 net loss Rs.4.59 crore) were not reviewed by the group auditor
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Disclaimer: This results analysis is published for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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