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Tube Investments Q2 FY27 Earnings Call: Commits Full H2 Profit Recovery, Guides Higher Double-Digit Growth (TIINDIA)

Cofacto Research Published November 06, 2026 7 min read
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Tube Investments of India Ltd held its Q2 FY27 earnings call on November 05, 2026. Here's a quick read of what management said — performance, strategy, and the outlook ahead.

Strong Top Line, Flat Core Profitability on Commodity Drag

  • Standalone revenue of Rs.2,710 Cr — up from Rs.2,119 Cr in Q2 FY 2025-2026; standalone PBT of Rs.253 Cr vs Rs.250 Cr, indicating near-flat profit on a much larger base.
  • Consolidated revenue of Rs.7,330 Cr — vs Rs.5,523 Cr in Q2 FY 2025-2026; profit before associate/JV exception items and tax of Rs.643 Cr vs Rs.459 Cr.
  • ~15% volume growth at the TA level — MD Mukesh Ahuja attributed the remainder of standalone growth to raw material (HRC) price pass-through rather than real demand-led growth.
  • Standalone ROIC flat YoY at 44% — free cash flow for the quarter was Rs.167 Cr.
  • Core EBITDA and PAT flat despite 16% volume growth — management indicated a delayed cost pass-through expected to flow through over H2 FY 2026-2027.
  • Operating margins stagnating at 9-10% — flagged by analyst Gopalakrishna Subramanian, who also noted the share price has fallen ~50% from the 4,600 level to the 2,300 level between October 2024 and the call.

Engineering Leads; Shanti Gears the Only Decliner

  • Engineering division revenue of Rs.1,828 Cr — vs Rs.1,382 Cr in Q2 FY 2025-2026 (~32% growth per management); PBIT of Rs.171 Cr vs Rs.164 Cr.
  • Metal Form Products revenue of Rs.473 Cr — vs Rs.408 Cr (~16% growth); PBIT of Rs.49 Cr vs Rs.44 Cr.
  • Mobility revenue of Rs.247 Cr — vs Rs.194 Cr; PBIT improved to Rs.8 Cr from Rs.4 Cr.
  • Others segment revenue of Rs.260 Cr — vs Rs.227 Cr; PBIT of Rs.20 Cr vs Rs.18 Cr.
  • CG Power (56.2% held subsidiary) revenue of Rs.3,802 Cr — vs Rs.2,923 Cr; PBT of Rs.559 Cr vs Rs.388 Cr.
  • Shanti Gears (73.16% held) was the only decliner — revenue of Rs.128 Cr vs Rs.132 Cr and PBT of Rs.20 Cr vs Rs.29 Cr in Q2 FY 2025-2026.
  • Engineering and metal form divisions came in below expectations — due to continuous commodity price increases; price resets with customers/OEMs carry a retro effect and take one to two quarters to settle.

Management Commits to H2 FY 2026-2027 Recovery

  • "100% yes" on recovery — Mukesh Ahuja confirmed the H1 FY 2026-2027 EBITDA/profit shortfall will be recovered in absolute terms over H2 FY 2026-2027 and FY 2027-2028; one or two quarters are expected to run above normal once full recovery completes (period unspecified).
  • Full price-reset recovery expected in Q3–Q4 FY 2026-2027 — management is confident retro price resets with customers/OEMs will settle over the next one to two quarters; price increases are at various stages (midway) across engineering, MFPD and IC businesses.
  • TI CMPL cost base spiked to ~Rs.622 Cr in Q2 FY 2026-2027 — computed by analyst Salil Desai (Marcellus) at ~75% above the prior 3-4 quarter run rate; Jalaj attributed the spike to very high cell price increases (where CMPL has complete dependence), adverse rupee exchange rate, and commodity inflation raising BOM costs across all four businesses.
  • CMPL mitigation levers — possible price corrections/deal-by-deal realization improvements, intensified BOM cost reduction, and entry into a few longer-term supplier arrangements.
  • Medical margin close to 8% in Q2 FY 2026-2027 — after adjusting for Rs.4 Cr of amortization; management said the business will take time to stabilize and its perspective is "higher double-digit" profitability margins (period unspecified).
  • Rs.4 Cr per-quarter fair valuation adjustment — CFO A. N. Mayappan noted it is booked separately from business operations; adjusting for it, medical profitability is "much better."

Volume Ramp Across All Four Segments, Breakeven Roadmap Intact

  • Truck volumes of 311 in Q2 FY 2026-2027 vs 86 in Q1 — three-wheelers 2,242 vs 1,924; SCVs 483 vs 347; e-tractors 50 vs 22 (per Jalaj). Jalaj stated he is not happy with any of the four numbers — all should be higher.
  • 26% truck market share — in a highly competitive segment with 11-12 players; truck and SUV business at about 25% share; ~25% share of e-tractor registrations across 27 HP and 45 HP segments in H1 FY 2026-2027.
  • Truck EBITDA breakeven targeted in Q4 FY 2026-2027 — two more businesses may reach EBITDA breakeven in Q4 FY 2027-2028; organization-level EBITDA breakeven is the first target, followed by PAT profitability (no timeline given).
  • 1 billion revenue aspiration by 2030 reaffirmed — set at the consolidated TICMPL level with all businesses, including long haul and existing businesses, contributing.
  • HCV use-case diversification — cement dependence reduced to 60% of trucks on road, with 40% from non-cement applications (steel, mining, chemicals, sugar, retail, tyre movement); 80-90 vehicles seeded into metals/steel; mining added as a new use case in Q2 FY 2026-2027.
  • EV tailwinds cited by management — industry e-3W penetration upwards of 50% in Q2 FY 2026-2027; H1 FY 2026-2027 industry big-truck volumes almost 170% of FY 2025-2026 full-year volumes; H1 e-SCV volumes almost equal to FY 2025-2026 full-year volumes.
  • Exponent fast-charging partnership — enables 15-minute charging for three-wheelers; rollout dependent on Exponent's city presence, launching first in Bangalore, then Delhi NCR and Ahmedabad, before scaling nationally.
  • Emerging Chinese heavy-truck competitor (larger battery capacity) viewed as competition, not a risk — Jalaj noted electric truck penetration within the overall diesel truck pie is still in the low single digits and more players will expand the pie; in tractors, only 2-3 players compete today, with more expected within a couple of years.

Incubation Businesses Scaling, Regulatory Clock Running

  • TI Medical (Lotus) growing 20%+ in FY 2026-2027 — Q2 FY 2026-2027 growth of 20%; acquired ~3 years ago with subsequent investment in sutures; management remains bullish.
  • CDMO commercial supplies expected from about Q4 FY 2026-2027 — regulatory approval process may take about 1 year (i.e., FY 2027-2028); full scale-up only once approval comes through, with good revenue growth expected in about a year (FY 2027-2028).
  • Semi-commercial CDMO plant commissioned — quantities already supplied to customers; one product's European customer (calendar-year financial year) has given a projection for CY 2027; clean room commissioned with movement expected within 3-4 weeks (Q3 FY 2026-2027).
  • Medical plastics (cannula/canister) startup acquired — management hopeful the manpower/sales team will be in place by end of Q3 FY 2026-2027, after which focus shifts to raising capacity utilization.
  • Small startup acquired in metal injection molding (MIM) — further investment calls will follow once the business is understood.
  • EV moat factors cited — more than 1,000 e-SCVs and roughly 2,300 e-tractors already on the road; 5-6 years of accumulated market wisdom, supplier relationships, dealer network, exclusive EV focus, and being an indigenous Indian company availing Government of India benefits/subsidies that promote indigenous design and development.

Funding Commitments Clear; Export Mix Ambition Unmet

  • FCF-to-PAT target of ~85% reiterated — (period unspecified) after capex but excluding investments into subsidiaries; on course though quarterly plus/minus deviations are possible; higher core capex from potential adjacencies could cause a deviation in that year if materialized.
  • Rs.412 Cr of incremental investments into subsidiaries in Q2 FY 2026-2027 — Rs.250 Cr into TI CMPL and Rs.78 Cr into Shanti Gears (CFO A. N. Mayappan).
  • Entire Rs.250 Cr CCPS infusion into TI-CMPL came from TI alone — the private equity partner, which earlier invested Rs.250 Cr, has not invested any money since; CCPS term change is clarificatory with no change in accounting impact or investor returns.
  • TI CMPL liquidity of Rs.350 Cr cash in hand — sufficient for FY 2026-2027 with no fund raise needed; FY 2027-2028 requirements to be assessed, with an update expected by Q4 FY 2026-2027.
  • Exports at ~15% of TI-level revenues in Q2 FY 2026-2027 — the earlier endeavor to grow exports toward ~20% of revenues (period unspecified) did not materialize; management sees significant headroom contingent on geopolitical stabilization, with all exports flowing from the engineering division and other businesses.
  • Higher double-digit consolidated growth guided — in both revenue and bottom line (period unspecified), consistent with past guidance; T1-T2-T3 strategy (core focus, incubation, acquisitions) reiterated; on electronics acquisitions there is "nothing on the table as of now."
  • Share price recovery is "a question of time" — per Ahuja, as investor confidence builds with revenue and bottom-line growth; no forward guidance or outlook was provided in the opening remarks.
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Disclaimer: This earnings call summary is published for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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