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Bayer CropScience Q2 FY27 Results Analysis: Revenue Falls 19%, Margin Expands 419 bps (BAYERCROP)

Cofacto Research Published November 03, 2026 4 min read
Negative

Bayer CropScience Ltd's Q2 FY27 numbers came in soft, with revenue of Rs. 1,250.70 Cr (-19.49% YoY) and PAT growth of +8.84% YoY. Here's a quick read of what worked, what to watch, and what management said.

Quick Details
Results dateNovember 03, 2026
Revenue (Q2)Rs. 1,250.70 Cr (-19.49% YoY)
PAT (Q2)Rs. 166.20 Cr (+8.84% YoY)
EBITDA margin17.41% (+419 bps YoY)
EPS (Q2)Rs. 36.98 (+8.83% YoY)

Quarter Snapshot

Q2 FY27 revenue fell 19.49% YoY to Rs.1,250.7 Cr against a rain-depressed base, running far behind management's 3-5 year high single-digit to low double-digit growth guidance, while EBITDA margin expanded ~419 bps YoY to 17.41% on flat cost lines and PAT grew 8.84% organically. The soft spot is cash: H1 CFO was negative Rs.631.6 Cr with receivables up 63% vs March and a ~134-day DSO proxy, contradicting management's working-capital focus. The Rs.90/share interim dividend was maintained at an 82.92% payout of H1 PAT.

Q2 FY27 Expectations vs Results

DriverExpected before resultsWhat happenedVerdict
Revenue vs rain-depressed base"directionally ahead of the depressed base, with the acreage decline the offsetting drag"Revenue −19.49% YoY; H1 −11.02%Contradicted
Further divestment tranches in Q2watch item: whether further tranches "land in Q2"Filing Note 2 shows nil gain in Q2; other income Rs.13.4 Cr — no gainPlayed out
H1 cash flow seasonally weak"expected to be seasonally weak regardless of demand"CFO −Rs.631.6 Cr vs −Rs.34.9 Cr H1 FY26 — deeperPlayed out
Interim dividend Rs.90 testpolicy "intact", Board to consider 3-NovRs.90/share declaredPlayed out
Glyphosate tailwind vs feared glut"the glut scenario did not materialise" — supportiveNo price/segment data in filingNot observable
Transfer-price stabilization test"first full quarter where that claim can be tested"Materials cost flat YoY in Rs.; no quantified disclosurePartially
Ex-one-off margin qualityQ1 PAT flattered by Rs.63.9 Cr gainQ1 normalized PAT Rs.270.5 Cr (−2.94% YoY); Q2 growth cleanPlayed out

Read our full results preview.

Management Guidance vs Delivery

What management saidWhereWhat happenedVerdict
High single-digit to low double-digit revenue growth over 3-5 years, base FY24-25 (volume+value combo)management guidance, Q2 FY26 earnings callH1 FY27 revenue −11.02% YoY; Q2 −19.49% YoY — running behindMissed
~100bps margin improvement over 2-3 years from FY24-25 base (PAT/revenue 10.4% in FY25); CFO called it "more as a target, more as an aspiration"management guidance, Q2 FY26 earnings callQ2 PAT/revenue 13.29% (vs 9.83% YoY); H1 15.81% (vs 12.44%) — seasonally flattered; but directionally aheadOn Track
Rs.90/share half-year interim dividend; policy "intact"management commentary, FY26 callsRs.90/share declared 3-Nov-2026Met
Grower-payment / Bayer AG transfer-price stabilization "this year"management commentary, FY26 callsNo quantified disclosure in the filing; materials cost flat YoY in Rs.Too Early
Opex managed to grow slower than revenue (new operating model)prior earnings-call commentaryEmployee cost −6.22% YoY; other expenses flat at Rs.214.0 Cr on revenue −19.49%Confirmed
"Resilient" agri franchise amid challenging weatherCEO commentary, Q1 FY27 resultsRevenue −19.49% YoY vs a rain-depressed base; H1 −11.02% — resilience showed in margins, not revenue — on revenueContradicted
Working-capital focus via collections and inventory optimizationCFO commentary, Q1 FY27 resultsReceivables +63% vs March; CFO −Rs.631.6 Cr H1Contradicted this half
Dividend policy intactmanagement commentaryRs.90/share interim declaredConfirmed

Key Investment Insights

Key Positives

  • EBITDA grew 6.04% YoY to Rs.217.7 Cr on a 19.49% revenue decline, with margin expanding ~419 bps YoY to 17.41%
  • Q2 PAT grew 8.84% YoY to Rs.166.2 Cr with no one-time items; EPS Rs.36.98 vs Rs.33.98
  • H1 normalized PAT grew 1.30% YoY to Rs.437.0 Cr after removing the Rs.63.9 Cr Q1 divestment gain
  • Employee costs fell 6.22% YoY and other expenses were flat at Rs.214.0 Cr, confirming the new operating model opex discipline
  • Effective tax rate fell ~238 bps YoY to 21.38%
  • Rs.90/share interim dividend declared, an 82.92% payout of H1 PAT, maintaining the stated policy
  • Inventories fell 3.31% vs March to Rs.2,064.9 Cr, mitigating the safety-stock build risk

Risk Factors

  • Revenue fell 19.49% YoY to Rs.1,250.7 Cr against an already rain-depressed base; H1 revenue down 11.02%, running far behind the 3-5 year high single-digit to low double-digit growth guidance
  • H1 CFO was negative Rs.631.6 Cr (CFO/PAT −1.29x) vs −Rs.34.9 Cr a year ago, with receivables building Rs.722.8 Cr and inventories releasing only Rs.28.2 Cr vs Rs.695.9 Cr released in H1 FY26
  • Trade receivables rose 63.14% vs March to Rs.1,819.8 Cr, a DSO proxy of ~134 days, contradicting management's working-capital focus
  • Cash and equivalents fell 66.71% vs March to Rs.470.9 Cr after Rs.269.4 Cr of dividends and seasonal working-capital outflow
  • H1 inventory write-off/write-down of Rs.42.4 Cr (vs Rs.5.2 Cr in H1 FY26) sits partly in Q2 cost lines with unquantified quarterly split
  • Cluster Commercial Lead resignation effective 31-Dec-2026 with no successor named
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Disclaimer: This results analysis is published for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

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